Book 12C

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Course 12Book 12C: Extinction and the ProofChapter 4

Geometrization

Thick and thin parts, and the long-time behaviour of the flow.

14 min read · Updated Oct 3, 2026

Read Perelman II, §7, with Hamilton's "Non-singular solutions of the Ricci flow on three-manifolds" (1999), §§8–12, which it adapts. Morgan and Tian, "Completion of the proof of the geometrization conjecture" (arXiv 0809.4040), Kleiner and Lott's notes, and Bessières, Besson, Boileau, Maillot and Porti, Geometrisation of 3-Manifolds (2010), give complete accounts. 10A.5 Thurston’s Eight Geometries and 10A.7 Geometrization and Ricci Flow state what is being proved.

In this chapter · 7 sections
  1. 4.1Telling knots apart
  2. 4.2The long-time normalisation
  3. 4.3Thick and thin
  4. 4.4The thin part
  5. 4.5Geometrization
  6. 4.6History
  7. 4.7Exercises

When the manifold has aspherical prime factors, the flow with surgery need not become extinct. It runs forever, and the question is what it looks like as t→∞t \to \infty. Perelman's answer, in §7 of his second preprint, is the one Hamilton had found in 1999 for flows without singularities, now without Hamilton's extra hypothesis. Rescale by 1t\frac1t. Where the rescaled manifold is thick (not collapsed), it becomes hyperbolic, converging to finite-volume hyperbolic pieces whose cusps are incompressible tori. Where it is thin (collapsed with a lower curvature bound), it is a graph manifold, made of Seifert fibred pieces. That is Thurston's geometrization conjecture (10A.5 Thurston’s Eight Geometries), and with it, the classification of closed 3-manifolds.

By the end of this chapter you will be able to:

  • explain why g(t)t\frac{g(t)}{t} is the right normalisation, and what the monotone quantities V(t)(t+14)−3/2V(t)(t + \frac14)^{-3/2} and Rmin⁡V2/3R_{\min}V^{2/3} say about it;
  • define the thick and thin parts and state what happens to each;
  • state the collapsing theorem and its history after Perelman;
  • explain how incompressibility of the cusp tori is proved;
  • assemble the geometrization theorem from the long-time picture, prime decomposition and the theory of graph manifolds.

Telling knots apart

In the world In use Hyperbolic invariants in knot tables

In 1998 Jim Hoste, Morwen Thistlethwaite and Jeffrey Weeks published the census of all 1,701,936 prime knots with at most 16 crossings (The Mathematical Intelligencer 20). Their methods differed. Hoste and Weeks relied on hyperbolic geometry: they computed, with Weeks's software, the hyperbolic structure on each knot's complement and compared invariants such as hyperbolic volume, which by Mostow rigidity are invariants of the knot (10A.6 Hyperbolic Three-Manifolds). Thistlethwaite used no hyperbolic invariants at all. That hyperbolic geometry is so effective here is a practical shadow of geometrization: by Thurston's theorem, the complement of a knot that is neither a torus knot nor a satellite knot is hyperbolic, and the Ricci flow's thick part is where hyperbolic pieces appear.

The long-time normalisation

From now on, assume that MM has no metric of nonnegative scalar curvature (otherwise 12C.1 Reading Off the Topology and 12B.5 Ricci Flow with Surgery for All Time have already identified it), and that any component which acquires nonnegative scalar curvature is removed at once. For normalised initial data, the scalar curvature satisfies (II, §7.1)

Rmin⁡(t)≥−32⋅1t+14,ddtV≤−Rmin⁡V,R_{\min}(t) \geq -\frac32\cdot\frac{1}{t + \frac14}, \qquad \frac{d}{dt}V \leq -R_{\min}V,

so V(t)(t+14)−3/2V(t)(t + \frac14)^{-3/2} is nonincreasing; surgeries only decrease VV. The scale-invariant quantity R^=Rmin⁡V2/3\hat R = R_{\min}V^{2/3} is nondecreasing whenever Rmin⁡≤0R_{\min} \leq 0:

ddtR^≥23R^V−1∫M(Rmin⁡−R) dV≥0.\frac{d}{dt}\hat R \geq \frac23\hat RV^{-1}\int_M(R_{\min} - R)\,dV \geq 0.

Both have limits as t→∞t \to \infty. If the limit Vˉ\bar V of V(t)(t+14)−3/2V(t)(t + \frac14)^{-3/2} is positive, these two monotone quantities force Rmin⁡(t)∼−32tR_{\min}(t) \sim -\frac{3}{2t}, and in any region where the rescaled flow g(t)t\frac{g(t)}{t} converges, its limit has scalar curvature exactly −32t-\frac{3}{2t}, and then, by the strong maximum principle, constant sectional curvature −14t-\frac{1}{4t}. The hyperbolic metric g(t)=(1+4t)g0g(t) = (1 + 4t)g_0, with g0g_0 of curvature −1-1, is the model (Exercise 4.4).

Thick and thin

Let ρ(x,t)\rho(x, t) be the radius at which inf⁡Rm⁡\inf\operatorname{Rm} on B(x,t,ρ)B(x, t, \rho) equals −ρ−2-\rho^{-2}: the scale at which the curvature lower bound becomes significant. For w>0w > 0, the thin part M−(w,t)M^-(w, t) is the set of points with

Vol⁡B(x,t,ρ(x,t))<wρ(x,t)3,\operatorname{Vol}B(x, t, \rho(x, t)) < w\rho(x, t)^3,

collapsed at the scale of their curvature bound, and the thick part M+(w,t)M^+(w, t) is its complement. Perelman shows (II, §7.3) that for large tt every point of the thick part has a ball of radius comparable to t\sqrt t on which the flow is nearly hyperbolic: ∣2tRic⁡+g∣<ξ|2t\operatorname{Ric} + g| < \xi (Lemma 7.2), using the curvature estimates proved from volume bounds in §6, which replace Hamilton's assumption of bounded normalised curvature.

Theorem 4.1 The thick part (Perelman II, §7.3, after Hamilton)

Suppose M+(w,t)M^+(w, t) is nonempty for a sequence t→∞t \to \infty. Then:

  1. Rescalings of g(t)g(t) by t−1t^{-1} about points of the thick part converge, along subsequences, to complete hyperbolic manifolds of finite volume (with curvature −14-\frac14).
  2. There are finitely many such manifolds H1,…,HkH_1, \dots, H_k such that, for each small w>0w > 0 and all large tt, the thick part M+(w,t)M^+(w, t) is covered by almost isometric copies of truncations Hj(w)H_j(w), which move by isotopy as tt increases.
  3. The boundary tori of the Hj(w)H_j(w) are incompressible in MM.

Parts 1 and 2 follow Hamilton's 1999 argument, which uses Mostow–Prasad rigidity of finite-volume hyperbolic manifolds (10A.6 Hyperbolic Three-Manifolds) to show that the copies are stable in time. Part 3 is a minimal surface argument, also Hamilton's, using a theorem of Meeks and Yau on least-area discs; it rests on the same evolution of the area of least-area discs that drives 12C.2 Finite Extinction. Perelman notes that the argument survives surgery, because surgery can only decrease the area of a least-area disc.

The thin part

Theorem 4.2 The collapsing theorem (Perelman II, §7.4)

Let (Mα,gα)(M_\alpha, g_\alpha) be compact oriented Riemannian 3-manifolds, closed or with convex boundary, and wα→0w_\alpha \to 0. Suppose every point has a radius ρ\rho (less than 11 and the diameter) at which the ball has volume at most wαρ3w_\alpha\rho^3 and sectional curvature at least −ρ−2-\rho^{-2}, that the boundary components are small tori with nearly hyperbolic collars, and that a technical smoothness condition holds. Then for large α\alpha, MαM_\alpha is a graph manifold.

Applied to the thin part of g(t)t\frac{g(t)}{t}, with the thick part removed, this says the thin part is a graph manifold. One exceptional case, when the whole manifold is thin but at a scale larger than itself, leads to a limit with nonnegative curvature, and then MM is flat. Perelman stated that the proof "has nothing to do with the Ricci flow", relies on critical point theory for distance functions from Alexandrov geometry, and would appear in a separate paper. It did not appear. Proofs were supplied by others:

  • Takashi Shioya and Takao Yamaguchi, "Volume collapsed three-manifolds with a lower curvature bound" (Mathematische Annalen 333, 2005), using Alexandrov space theory, including Perelman's stability theorem;
  • John Morgan and Gang Tian, in their completion of the geometrization proof (2008);
  • Laurent Bessières, Gérard Besson, Michel Boileau, Sylvain Maillot and Joan Porti, for irreducible manifolds with nontrivial fundamental group (Inventiones Mathematicae, 2010), and in their book;
  • Jianguo Cao and Jian Ge, "A simple proof of Perelman's collapsing theorem for 3-manifolds" (Journal of Geometric Analysis 21, 2011);
  • Bruce Kleiner and John Lott, "Locally collapsed 3-manifolds" (Astérisque 365, 2014).

Geometrization

Perelman summarises (II, §7.4): for large tt, every component of the flow with surgery is a graph manifold, or a closed hyperbolic manifold, or splits along finitely many disjoint incompressible tori into pieces that are graph manifolds or complete finite-volume hyperbolic manifolds. Graph manifolds are understood (Waldhausen): each is a connected sum of irreducible graph manifolds, each of which splits along incompressible tori into Seifert fibred pieces (10A.4 Seifert Spaces and the JSJ Decomposition). Figure 4.1 shows the picture.

Figure 4.1. The long-time picture of g(t)t\frac{g(t)}{t} (schematic). The thick part is nearly hyperbolic, with finite volume; it meets the thin part along incompressible tori; the thin part is collapsed along circles or tori and is a graph manifold.

Combining this with the bookkeeping of surgery (12C.1 Reading Off the Topology) gives Thurston's conjecture.

Theorem 4.3 Geometrization (Thurston's conjecture; Perelman 2003)

Every closed orientable 3-manifold is a connected sum of prime manifolds, and each prime manifold can be cut along a finite collection of disjoint incompressible tori into pieces each of which carries one of Thurston's eight geometries, the hyperbolic pieces with finite volume.

The connected sum decomposition is produced by the surgeries, and the pieces they discard are spherical or S2×S1S^2\times S^1 (12C.1 Reading Off the Topology). What survives forever decomposes into hyperbolic pieces (the thick part) and graph manifolds (the thin part), and graph manifolds are made of Seifert fibred pieces, which carry the six Seifert geometries, or of torus bundles carrying Sol (10A.5 Thurston’s Eight Geometries). Figure 4.2 labels each arrow of the "fates of pieces" diagram of 10A.7 Geometrization and Ricci Flow with the theorem that now proves it.

Figure 4.2. The fates of the pieces, each arrow now labelled by the theorem that proves it (schematic, updating 10A.7 Geometrization and Ricci Flow).
Where this goes After Perelman

The geometrization theorem closed a century-old chapter of topology, and opened others. 12C.5 After Perelman tours what came after: Ricci flow through singularities without surgery, the classification of singularity models, the generalized Smale conjecture, and the Ricci flow in higher dimensions.

History

Thurston formulated the geometrization conjecture around 1980 and proved it for Haken manifolds. Hamilton's 1999 paper carried out the long-time analysis for flows without singularities and with bounded normalised curvature. Perelman's second preprint (March 2003) removed both assumptions, deferred the collapsing theorem, and withdrew a claim from his first preprint about the smoothness of the solution after some time, which he called unjustified and irrelevant to the other conclusions. Morgan and Tian completed the proof in detail in 2008 and published it as The Geometrization Conjecture (Clay Mathematics Monographs 5, 2014).

Recall Where we stand

If the flow with surgery does not become extinct, rescale by 1t\frac1t: V(t)(t+14)−3/2V(t)(t + \frac14)^{-3/2} is nonincreasing and Rmin⁡V2/3R_{\min}V^{2/3} nondecreasing, and any converging region is hyperbolic with curvature −14-\frac14. The thick part converges to finitely many finite-volume hyperbolic manifolds, stable by rigidity, with incompressible cusp tori (minimal discs, as in Hamilton 1999). The thin part is collapsed with a lower curvature bound, hence a graph manifold (the collapsing theorem, proved by Shioya–Yamaguchi, Morgan–Tian, Bessières et al., Cao–Ge and Kleiner–Lott). With the surgeries' connected sums, this is Thurston's geometrization: prime pieces split along incompressible tori into geometric pieces. 12C.5 After Perelman tours what has been proved since.

Exercises

Exercise 4.4 The hyperbolic model

Let g0g_0 be hyperbolic with sectional curvature −1-1 on a closed 3-manifold, and g(t)=(1+4t)g0g(t) = (1 + 4t)g_0. (a) Check that g(t)g(t) is a Ricci flow and compute R(t)R(t). (b) Show that V(t)(t+14)−3/2V(t)(t + \frac14)^{-3/2} is constant. (c) Show that g(t)t\frac{g(t)}{t} has sectional curvature −t1+4t→−14-\frac{t}{1 + 4t} \to -\frac14.

Solution

(a) Ric⁡(g0)=−2g0\operatorname{Ric}(g_0) = -2g_0, unchanged by scaling, so ∂tg=4g0=−2Ric⁡\partial_tg = 4g_0 = -2\operatorname{Ric}. Sectional curvature −11+4t-\frac{1}{1 + 4t}, so R=−61+4t=−32⋅1t+14R = -\frac{6}{1 + 4t} = -\frac32\cdot\frac{1}{t + \frac14}, equality in the bound for Rmin⁡R_{\min}. (b) V(t)=(1+4t)3/2V0=8(t+14)3/2V0V(t) = (1 + 4t)^{3/2}V_0 = 8(t + \frac14)^{3/2}V_0. (c) Scaling a metric by 1t\frac1t multiplies sectional curvature by tt: −t1+4t-\frac{t}{1 + 4t}.

Exercise 4.5 The scale-invariant curvature

Show that R^=Rmin⁡V2/3\hat R = R_{\min}V^{2/3} is unchanged when gg is replaced by cgcg. For the hyperbolic model of Exercise 4.4, compute R^\hat R, and explain why it is constant.

Solution

Rmin⁡(cg)=c−1Rmin⁡(g)R_{\min}(cg) = c^{-1}R_{\min}(g) and V(cg)=c3/2V(g)V(cg) = c^{3/2}V(g), so V2/3V^{2/3} scales by cc. For the model, R^=−6V02/3\hat R = -6V_0^{2/3} at all times, since the flow is just scaling.

Exercise 4.6 Thin examples

Which of the following flows have, for large tt, empty thick part after rescaling by 1t\frac1t? (a) A product Σ×S1\Sigma\times S^1 with Σ\Sigma a hyperbolic surface, under the Ricci flow. (b) A hyperbolic 3-manifold. (c) A Nil manifold (compare 11A.8 Homogeneous Flows). What kind of piece does each represent?

Solution

(a) Σ\Sigma expands like tt, the circle stays fixed, so after rescaling by 1t\frac1t the circle factor shrinks to zero length: collapsed, thin; it is Seifert fibred (H2×R\mathbb{H}^2\times\mathbb{R} geometry). (b) The rescaled flow converges to a hyperbolic metric: thick. (c) Nil collapses after rescaling, as in 11A.8 Homogeneous Flows: thin, a Seifert fibred (Nil) graph manifold.

Exercise 4.7 Why incompressibility matters

A torus TT in MM is compressible if some essential loop on TT bounds an embedded disc in MM. Explain why the decomposition along tori would not be canonical, and would not detect hyperbolic pieces, if compressible tori were allowed. (Think of a torus bounding a solid torus in S3S^3.)

Solution

The boundary torus of a solid torus in S3S^3 is compressible: the meridian bounds a disc. Cutting along it gives a solid torus and a knot complement, which says nothing about S3S^3, and any such torus could be chosen in infinitely many ways. Incompressible tori are essential: they are detected by π1\pi_1 (they inject), and the JSJ theorem makes a minimal family of them canonical (10A.4 Seifert Spaces and the JSJ Decomposition). Hyperbolic pieces of finite volume have cusp tori that are incompressible, so the decomposition along incompressible tori is the one that geometry sees.

Exercise 4.8 Rehearsal: the fate of a connected sum

Let M=L(3,1)#NM = L(3, 1)\#N, where NN is a closed hyperbolic 3-manifold. Describe, step by step, what the Ricci flow with surgery does to MM in the long run, and which theorem of Book 12 governs each step.

Solution

Suppose, as one expects for an initial metric with a thin neck between the summands, that this neck pinches first. By the canonical neighbourhood theorem (12B.3 The Canonical Neighbourhood Theorem) the region is made of necks, and surgery (12B.4 Surgery) cuts along one, leaving a lens space component and a component diffeomorphic to NN. The lens space has no aspherical prime factors, so its component becomes extinct in finite time (12C.2 Finite Extinction). The NN component runs forever (12B.5 Ricci Flow with Surgery for All Time); rescaled by 1t\frac1t, it has a nonempty thick part, which converges to the hyperbolic metric on NN (this chapter, Theorem 4.1). The ledger records M≅L(3,1)#NM \cong L(3, 1)\#N.

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